Monthly Archives: April 2012

The 2012 TwitterFightClub Champion

The Main Event

The final day of the tournament started slowly, with @will_mccants occupied with media appearances and @dandrezner wrapped up in the ISA conference. The competition picked up a bit of steam as the day wore on with some more noteworthy work by Drezner proxy @stephaniecarvin, and by the end of the day AQ and zombies were in full play as befits a contest between experts in those respective fields.

In an unexpected twist, however, one third of today’s judging panel staged an insurgency and cast their ballots for another candidate entirely. We were unwilling to wage a resource-intensive counterinsurgency campaign against these judges, and felt secure in our ability to secure a free and fair vote for the TFC public, so we let these insurgents have their say, even publishing their ballots in the interests of free speech.

In the end, their uprising was not enough to overshadow @will_mccants, who rode a wave of public support to victory! Congratulations, Will! You will make an awesome bobblehead a worthy champion!

@will_mccants! Has! The poweeerrr!

Let’s see how the scoring played out:

@dandrezner vs. @will_mccants
Judges: 2-2(-2)
Popular vote:
@will_mccants: 190 (72%)
@dandrezner: 74 (28%)

Now to the judges’ ballots, in which @abumuqawama tries to bring some rigor to the task of judging, @jeremyscahill gives ups to @ggreenwald, @ClosetIdealist plays it straight, @attackerman keeps it short and sweet, and @astridhka and @charlie_simpson judge a whole other match.

@jeremyscahill

Before delving into the main event that brings us all here, let’s pause to pour some booze out for those who didn’t make it past the Final Four. Well, at least for @jeffemanuel. For @stcolumbia, sparkling cider will have to do. I have to say that had these two guys made it to the Finals, they would have been just as worthy as those who did. Without a doubt, @stcolumbia wins the Twitter NatSec “Rookie of the Year” title hands down and, quite frankly, may even make the All-Star Team in a sort of Spud Webb-type way. When was the last time you can recall that a former senior State Department official had to respond to a blog post by a 14 year old sporting a flannel shirt who, right after he hit “publish,” was playing Halo in his parents’ basement?

As for @jeffemanuel, he is one of the reasons why I love Twitter so much. In a world without Twitter, he and the rest of the Knights Templar, challenge coin possessing, Hezbollah-fearing, Iran wants to rule the world conspiracy holding, Mitt Romney lov-OK, actually Jeff is pretty funny about little Mittens. But, my point is that he is from way, way, way over on the other side of the worldview tracks from me, yet I often learn from reading Jeff and I respect him as a no-bullshit dude (even when I think he is full of shit). When I meet Jeff in person, the drinks are on me (hopefully not the M4 rounds). I already met @stcolumbia in person and had to convince 3 different bouncers to let him into their fine establishments. Props to both of these noble Twitter warriors. I assure you we have not heard the last of them.

One final note here before I cast my vote in the championship, if we were judging this purely based on the spirit of the old fashioned Twitter FIGHTS that gave birth to this noble tournament, then I believe, as I did last year, that @ggreenwald would be the undisputed champion, no matter how many of y’all think whatever you think about him. The dude can fight and, like the proud Twitter Troll of Texas™, @jstrevino (whom I have sometimes had the awful misfortune of agreeing with), he is not afraid to mix it up with an account with an egg shell as its Avatar and 3 followers, one of whom is porn, another a free iPad-bot and the third @BarackObama. That, my friends, is the true spirit of a Twitter fighter. The trophy really should be a gold bobblehead of Glenn, perhaps surrounded by the skulls of his defeated or pummeled Twitter avatars. But those were the Gladiator days of past. Today we have rules and civility and something called “vegan cheese.” Part of me believes that this “Twitter Fight Club” is, in reality, some COIN-inspired Red Cell op that we are all unwittingly being used in. I assume it is all being run by @abumuqawama or @robertcaruso.

All of which leads me to the Finals between @dandrezner and @will_mccants. In order to judge this, I had to check the final language of the NDAA law. Now, lest you think I am going to wax poetic about the coming Halliburton concentration camps, I will make myself clear: I believe that, according to the law, Will McCants may-I said may-be an al Qaeda facilitator. Much of my intel on this remains classified and I plan to offer an ultra slim CliffsNotes defense of this allegation in a major address at the Univerity of Chicago Law School, but this little nugget should give you a good window into what Dr. McCants is really about. And it ain’t pretty. Just look at who it is that made this al Qaeda manifesto available to the English-speaking world: “The Management of Savagery.” Now, because we are a nation of laws, I believe McCants should be presented with the evidence against him and, if proper, charged. That’s the American way, right? So until that happens-JSOC and CIA drones permitting-I will put these facts aside and treat McCants as a legitimate Twitter Fight Club combatant with full protection under all international and US conventions and laws of war. (Wink. Wink.)

As for Dan Drezner, I am not aware of his involvement with managing any actual savagery. However, he has cut to the center of some of the most burning foreign policy questions facing those of us who live in the real world (meaning those of us who watch AMC and know who Max Brooks is) with his latest book, Theories of International Politics and Zombies, which “explores the myriad predictions of different theories of world politics and foreign policy in case the dead should rise from the grave and feast upon the living.” Let’s be honest, it is quite possible that Zombies pose a far greater existential threat to peace and stability than the merry band of loonies whose message McCants loves to translate and promote to the English-speaking world.

But, I digress.

In the end, we are not permitted to judge these fine men on such merits. It boils down to what they do with those bursts of 140 characters that God and the prophet Joseph Smith give them on a daily basis.

I have to say that, despite the prestige of both of these renowned scholars, the Finals proved to be a low scoring match. For several hours on Tuesday, Drezner didn’t tweet and-perhaps in a brilliant swipe at McCants-left a +1 RT of @ggreenwald at the top of his feed. For his part, McCants attempted to prove his commitment to victory by disowning his Ivy league Alma Mater, Princeton, sparking the ire of Princeton’s own @gregorydjohnsen, and praising other Ivy League schools, such as UPenn. McCants tried to hold this up as evidence of his willingness to “rupture my deep friend[ship] with Greg in order to speak the truth.” While such principled disavowing of an Ivy League academic institution that gave him so so much may have swayed some judges, another tweet undermined his “average Joe” shtick: “Hard to type in back of limo on my way to CNN for interview.” Oh, Will. Will. Will. Was Seamus strapped to the roof as you drove?

In keeping with the recent US trend, Drezner did deploy a proxy to fight his wars yesterday: one @StephanieCarvin. And while she put up a great effort-with such scurrilous attacks as “Breaking News: John Mearsheimer confirms ‘The Tragedy of Great Power Politics’ actually about @will_mccants”-in the end, a proxy is a proxy. They may achieve short-term objectives, but you cannot control the mess (extrajudicial executions anyone?) to come. After basically outsourcing his war-@StephanieCarvin=Blackwater=new Scahill book-in an 11th hour bid to seal the deal, Drezner did tweet from some boring conference he has been speaking at for like 48 hours straight: “OK, MUST tweet this. At my #ISA2012 panel, Nicholas Cull references “kitlers” — a community of people with cats that look like Hitler.” Well played, sir.

I have been a long-time follower of both of these guys. Dan Drezner is funny and smart and often tweets and retweets great stuff. He also understands that using an underscore in a Twitter name is lame. Wasn’t @TheRealWillMcCants available, dude? Despite his proclivity towards the underscore, McCants, along with that young jedi, @azelin, provide a great service to those of us who report on al Qaeda, al Shabaab, Ansar al Shariah, Daveed Gartenstein-Ross, AQAP and a host of other militant groups. In the end, that is what decided this match for me. I give it to @will_mccants with one caveat: if a White House death panel thinks I am wrong and Gen. Votel and the boys need to show him what’s what, then I will retract it all and dance in the streets celebrating his demise and claim that I had always known there was something strange about that guy.

@abumuqawama

Gang, I am not going to lie: I have been disappointed by the lack of any apparent rigor to the way in which Twitter Fight Club has thus far been judged. For many judges, the vote seems to come down to “I like the way he has a picture of a small child in his profile” or “that picture of the breakfast taco she tweeted looks yummy!”

Goodness gracious.

Some judges rewarded people for nothing more than high output the day of the match, which is to Twitter what “saves” is to baseball – statistically devoid of worth. But that was positively Bill Jamesian compared to some clowns. One judge rewarded a competitor for where he went to university. Another judge rewarded a competitor for owning the same breed of dog. Another reflected that a competitor might be on her review board for tenure and then voted accordingly.

Are you people serious?

(Finally, judges, an aside. This is a pet peeve of mine: if a competitor is not following you prior to the competition, don’t whine about it. Instead, take a look into the mirror and ask yourself why your Twitter feed stinks.)

Needless to say, little of what has passed for “judging” this year adds up to an accurate reflection of how valuable a person’s Twitter account is. And while I hate to go all Sabermetrics on this competition, I’m going to advance a simple way to better determine the worth of an account. This is a) a crude measurement that is b) nonetheless about a million times more scientific than 90% of what other people have written.

RT + M
———- = T-score
F

Okay, the number of followers [F] one has says little about the value of a person’s Twitter account. Any vapid reality television celebrity can have a lot of followers on Twitter. A more accurate reflection of an account’s value is the degree to which a post is re-tweeted [RT] or an account is mentioned (to include responses) [M]. But those figures can be skewed by an account’s amplification. So we have to control for that by dividing the sum by F. I call the figure we get at the end a T-score. (Because RTMF is a crappy acronym.)

Again, more idiots will re-tweet the musings of @JessicaSimpson than smart people will re-tweet @stcolumbia. But what happens when we divide their RT + M by F (4.9 million for @JessicaSimpson and 1,100 for @stcolumbia)? @stcolumbia is left with a monster T-score of 5.18, while @JessicaSimpson scores just .009. Relatively speaking, people really care about what @stcolumbia writes on Twitter, whereas very few people honestly care about what @JessicaSimpson writes on Twitter.

In order to control for last-minute flurries of competition-related tweets, I used Klout to harvest data on the accounts of @dandrezner and @will_mccants going back 90 days.

Here are the results, with RT, M and F all measured in the thousands. These two competitors were incredible well-paired, even if @stcolumbia would have smoked either of them. First, @dandrezner:

(5.8) + (3.4)
————— = .989
9.3

Now, @will_mccants:

(1.3) + (2.3)
————— = .947
3.8

So my vote goes to @dandrezner, while @will_mccants gets traded to Oakland for Yoenis Cespedes.

By the way, in case anyone is wondering, my T-score is 1.454. Last year’s champion, Jeremy Scahill, has an anemic T-score of .333. Not that I am still bitter about last year. Or @naheedmustafa’s petulant final ballot. Not at all.

@astridhka

As I was judging this morning, I immediately noticed both @dandrezner and @will_mccants had a truly unfortunate level of commitment to doing things today that were not Twitter Fight Club. @dandrezner was at ISA and @will_mccants was off being a “terrorism” “expert” for the media.

Still, @will_mccants made some time to pander a bit to me by acknowledging that my (and @abumuqawama’s) university is superior to his university. He was so engaged on Twitter while @dandrezner was lengthily absent that the poor guy had to resort to trading barbs with his own @ZombieDrezner. For his part, @dandrezner’s continued use of the @stephaniecarvin proxy and later effort to come back with the revealing @AQ_Loves_Will was valiant, but ultimately both men’s efforts on this important day lacked a certain je na sais quoi one expects from Twitter Fight Club.

And so, it’s come to this.

With the decidedly lackluster Twitter performance of the two final contestants, an enthusiastic insurgent candidate emerged sometime this afternoon. The sharp, smart, and engaging @texasinafrica has earned herself the darkhorse vote among the judges. The last woman standing in the TFC boys club and the final Africa (watcher) contestant, there was no way I couldn’t vote for her steady, informative tweets and shameless offer to send cupcakes.

Team @texasinafrica!

@attackerman

A tough competition: I hate all academics equally. But @will_mccants is the Anthony Davis of this year’s TFC. You can learn something valuable about terrorism from his feed. And “only Tom Friedman has more insight, zingers & amazing analogies” is a cold-as-ice mot juste, the kind of thing uttered by Twitter champions. @will_mccants is like the U. Chicago tenure board: @dandrezner can’t get past him.

@charlie_simpson

In her judging guidance, @caidid encouraged we the judges to ”look at metrics such as: knowledge base; quality of argumentation; innovative thinking; humor, snark, facility with quips, and charisma; and responsiveness to followers.”

Taking all those factors into consideration, I cast my final round vote for @texasinafrica.

@will_mccants gets an A-for-Effort in sheer pandering (even if he did get my graduate school wrong). There were not, however, any Jayhawk condolences forthcoming from either party. Which, given that I haven’t tweeted about anything else in a month, is rather disappointing. My pain is no less real for being live tweeted!

Now @dandrezer is handicapped by attending ISA. I feel his pain: it’s difficult to maintain consciousness after three-days of theory laden IR panels. (I attended ISA Honolulu. By which I mean, I attended 1.5 panels and shared a condo with @mchorowitz, @jbusby2, and @thomaswright08 in Waikiki. It was much better than ISA Montreal.) But that’s no excuse for him to ignore @will_mccants’ Christian Science Monitor humblebrag. CSM, really? They don’t even do print anymore.

And finally, they failed to respond in any meaningful way to the sly insurgency of @texasinafrica. The women of the warkid loop demand to be taken seriously! They also demand cupcakes. Seriously, I named my price like 5 times. This is not f*cking rocket science, gentlemen. Jayhawks, cupcakes, and servicey snark.

It’s @texasinafrica in a landslide.

@ClosetIdealist

Well, this certainly wasn’t an easy decision. @will_mccants buttered me up early with a follower recommendation and signalled the start of a promising career as emir of AQ’s newest affiliate, the Pink Hotpants Battalion. If AQAP produced the ‘undie-bomber’, I’m not looking forward to @will_mccants first plot against the decadent West. Thankfully no self-respecting terrorist knows where Australia is, so I’m safe. Good luck to the rest of you, though.

@dandrezner took the high road, not pandering to the judges (much). It wasn’t particularly easy to figure out who fired the first shot in the 2012 Zombies vs AQ war, but it seemed to end with the destruction of Tom Friedman’s moustache (which is more than can be said about most wars in recent memory). But @dandrezner had some great substantive tweets on Wikileaks, the Republican nomination process, and Iraq War intelligence - all worth a read. Also, it can’t have been easy participating in both #TFC12 and #ISA2012.

It was a hard decision - both participants had some great tweets and the interaction was excellent, but I have to select @dandrezner as the winner by a narrow margin.

The Bracket Pool

By virtue of being the only one to correctly pick the winner of the tournament, @azelin has made #TFC12 a sweep for the CT, Friends of the AQ Fora crew. Congratulations, @azelin!

Entrant Round One Round Two Sweet Sixteen Elite Eight Final Four Championship Total
@alanatiemessen 21 16 12 8 16 0 73
@AngelaConner 25 0 0 0 0 0 25
@astridhka 25 22 12 0 0 0 59
@azelin 24 14 16 8 16 32 110
@bmccorkle1 22 18 16 0 0 0 56
@DaveedGR 22 18 16 8 0 0 64
@dianawueger 26 18 12 8 16 0 80
@doylecjd 18 16 8 0 0 0 42
@drjjoyner 23 18 8 0 0 0 49
@GrahamWJenkins 26 12 8 0 0 0 46
@ibnlarry 17 16 20 0 0 0 53
@jay_ulfelder 26 16 20 8 0 0 70
@jeffemanuel 24 18 12 8 16 0 78
@JimmySky 26 20 12 0 0 0 58
@katiedemann 20 16 12 8 0 0 56
@mariastoh 28 14 12 8 16 0 78
@miketalley73 20 12 16 16 0 0 64
@mvallonesta 23 16 20 8 16 0 83
@RogueAdventurer 28 18 12 8 0 0 66
@smsaideman 22 18 24 16 16 0 96
@stephanie carvin 27 22 16 0 0 0 65
@strangestrings 24 14 12 0 0 0 50
@TalkingWarheads 21 14 8 0 0 0 43
@the_boy 24 16 12 0 0 0 52
@TheCamelsNose 22 16 12 0 0 0 50
Arias (handle unknown) 20 16 8 0 0 0 44
Stone (handle unknown) 22 12 8 8 0 0 50

Prizes will make their way to the winners in the coming weeks, but aside from that, this wraps up TwitterFightClub 2012. Thank you to our dedicated judges, @noahchestnut for the great recaps and previews, @MarkfromArk for the wonderful visualizations, and everyone for reading. Congratulations again to our 2012 champ @will_mccants!

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

The #TFC12 Finalists

Today marks the final day of competition. Tomorrow, we will crown a victor. Let’s see who remains to compete for the honor.

Final Four Results

North: @will_mccants vs. East: @stcolumbia
Judges: 4-3 for @will_mccants (57% of judges’ vote)
Popular vote:
@will_mccants: 326 (71%)
@stcolumbia: 132 (29%)
On the same day that @will_mccants apparently took down al Qaeda’s cyber networks (or so @JimmySky’s ballot says probably presumably happened), @stcolumbia’s until-now-superior cyber networks fail to net him the popular vote, and on a day when the judges’ vote tilts against him as well…Did the Hound use some kind of counter terror cyber counter ninjitsu to take down the pup? We may never know, but the day belongs to @will_mccants in this contest.

South: @dandrezner vs. West: @jeffemanuel
Judges: 6-1 for @dandrezner (86% of judges’ vote)
Popular vote:
@jeffemanuel: 434 (75%)
@dandrezner: 141 (25%)
@jeffemanuel scored another nod from ‘Firefly’ alum Adam Baldwin and clear superiority in the popular vote, but it’s not enough to overcome @dandrezner‘s overwhelming edge with the judges, a good deal of the credit for which must go to his highly effective proxy @stephaniecarvin.

The Championship Round

@will_mccants has battled his way here through a series of lively, close battles with @zackbeauchamp, @chrisalbon, @AzmatZahra, and @smsaideman.

@dandrezner was very nearly sent home in the first round by (16) seed @HayesBrown, but since then has appeared secure and sometimes downright formidable, taking down heavyweights @USEmbPretoria, @DaveedGR, and @BlakeHounshell

Today marks the epic final showdown of #TFC12, where @will_mccants and @dandrezner will seek to curry the favor of the voting public and a panel of judges including the only two people who have stood where they now stand, last year’s finalists @jeremyscahill and @abumuqawama. By the end of the evening, as many of the committee members, judges, contestants, and enthusiasts make merry,

The pretty one is @dianawueger.

the Chair will be locked away, feverishly tallying votes and weighing ballots, until the identity of the new champion is known.

It will look nothing like this.

The judging panel on this final day of competitions consists of:

  • @jeremyscahill
  • @abumuqawama
  • @astridhka
  • @attackerman
  • @charlie_simpson
  • @ClosetIdealist

The panel’s judgment will count for 50% of the vote. The public polls account for the other 50%. Judges and voters alike are encouraged to look at metrics such as: knowledge base; quality of argumentation; innovative thinking; humor, snark, facility with quips, and charisma; and responsiveness to followers. Contestants’ full bodies of work on Twitter are fair game, but any work outside of Twitter should not be considered, and once again everyone is encouraged to make their decisions in their own way. Two tweeters enter. Only one will walk away with the coveted trophy. Who will it be?

Now let’s hear from the judges how they made their picks.

@AzmatZahra

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

So Will McCants is a super serious, established “terrorism expert” (a title he deserves) who makes the pages of WaPo like it ain’t no thang. Despite this, he doesn’t think himself above partaking in seriously dorky, embarrassing things — a very tiny example of which is pandering to this judge’s obsession with The Hunger Games — and that’s ace in my books.

But Dan Trombly is young and hungry and relentless in his blogging, which is incredibly endearing. I mean, he’s a young’n (something Will hasn’t failed to used to his advantage) who knows a great deal, and how can you not root for that? He also cracked out the lolCats, which I have deep (and secret) appreciation for. Back in grad school, I used to read icanhazcheezburger? captions to my friends in funny voices (yes, I had friends) and would make my own. What? Stop typing right now, Azmat. Moving along. Dan also made this, and I love it.

This was difficult, very difficult, but my vote goes to @will_mccants, whom I suspect is behind Al Qaeda’s internet blackout. (For the record, I’m afraid this decision will come back to haunt me when I’m (well, we’ll all be) working for Dan Trombly one day. Please take pity on me then, Dan. I was a fool.)

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

Jeff started out the morning with an #FF for the judges, which is kind and whatnot, but entirely pointless, no? I mean, when was the last time an #FF like that actually meant something? That said, Jeff seems to have a very dedicated and loyal following… that includes Adam Baldwin? That’s probably because Jeff is both thoughtful and opinionated, which is a surprisingly rare combination.

Dan Drezner was at ISA, where he spoke and live-tweeted, and apparently also ate a whale, fought zombies and saved baby kittens. That he has Stephanie Carvin’s backing (who is a badass in my books) means a lot. Forget Adam Baldwin. I can’t help but listen to women I know are smart, so my vote goes to @dandrezner.

@JimmySky

Obviously, at this point in #TFC12, all of the competitions are going to be tough to judge. It’s doubly so for me right now since I just got diagnosed with “something pretty close to bronchitis” and now I’m suffering from the side-effects of Albuterol, which include nervousness, dizziness, shortness of breath, headache and uncontrollable shaking. Come to think of it, that’s the exact list of symptoms I had prior to going to the doctor.

Regardless, I have been asked to pass judgment on the Twitter Fight Club 2012 Final Four, so here they are.

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

The #TFC12 Illuminati are going to be furious at me for doing this, but its time to get the truth out there. I don’t believe that ‘Dan Trombly’ (aka @stcolumbia) is actually a real person. More precisely, I don’t believe that he is a single individual. I think that he is more of a collective, like @blakehounshell. My guess is that @stcolumbia is some kind of slow-burn viral marketing advertisement for Columbia University (or Columbia, SC). No real person could be as widely read and intelligent on such a vast amount topics as this ‘Dan Trombly’ person, especially at only 21 years old.

Follow me down the rabbit hole…

I know, I know. There is a guy that attends events in DC occasionally and presents himself as “Dan Trombly” but what do we really know about him, aside from the fact that he bears a passing resemblance to Emo Peter Parker from Spider-Man 3?

I’ll answer that: Nothing.

No 21-year old should be able to go toe-to-toe with Foreign Policy elite via twitter and argue the finer points of foreign intervention in Libya or the fiscal impacts behind France’s involvement in the American Revolution. Occam’s Razor dictates that @stcolumbia is a collection of at least a dozen PhDs. Or he is a 287-year-old Vampire. Or there is a hideously grotesque picture of him hidden in an attic somewhere.

Regardless, @stcolumbia isn’t real. Wake up, Sheeple! The truth is out there.

So, you ask, ‘What did @will_mccants do today?’ Nothing….

…unless you count SINGLE HANDEDLY TAKING DOWN AL-QAEDAS WEBSITE.
(I just kinda skimmed the article, but I’m pretty sure that’s what it said)

That’s right. Will McCants used the power of cyber to stop ALL THE TERRORISTS. Suck it, @evgenymorozov. The internet is awesome.

What did @will_mccants do yesterday? He cyber-punched Glenn Greenwald. This scores him huge points with me, not because he resorted to violence (cyber punching hits with all the physical damage of a sternly written ‘letter to the editor’) but because I find Greenwald unbearable.

Plus, Will McCants isn’t some shady collective of individuals we know nothing about. At worst, he is one guy standing on another guy’s shoulders wearing a trenchcoat.

WINNER: @will_mccants

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

@dandrezner engaged in unbelievably ruthless behavior in today’s twitter fight club round by enlisting a proxy by the name of @StephanieCarvin to wear down Jeff Emanuel’s defenses. Granted, Dan paid lip-service to the greatness of his adversaries, but behind the scenes he was laying the groundwork for his ultimate triumph.

I kept waiting for the other shoe to drop with @jeffemanuel. I kept waiting for him to ‘go negative.’ I wanted to see him lay down some snark with Dan Drezner. I knew that since we were in the Final Four he would certainly come out swinging. Nope. Jeff played it classy the whole time.

Unfortunately for Jeff, this is Twitter FIGHT Club, and the Coliseum demands blood. Or, in the absence of blood, cupcakes (which Dan Drezner promised to everyone).

Also, I’m a sore loser.

@naheedmustafa

Of Canadian Spellings and Canadian Decisions:

Ah, yes, the Final Four. Today’s Twitter fight threw up a veritable smorgasbord of soup-to-nuts tweets (eat your heart out Thomas Friedman). Everything from Russian influence in the GCC to a twitpic of a big girl in tiny clothes that singed my retinas (thanksalot @jeffemanuel). But decisions have to be made and not every decision is as decisive as the War of 1812 (which Canada won so…).

So here’s my rundown. But before I give my rundown I would like to say that each contestant – ok, not each contestant (you know who you are @dandrezner) made a real effort at toadying and truckling to some degree – some with compliments about my tumblr (I’m lookin’ at you @jeffemanuel) – and some with mildly swear-y exchanges – kudos @will_mccants. And some by RT’ing my brilliance (cheque’s in the mail @stcolumbia). But I also feel like regardless of the feel-good exchanges and the good times, I did announce early on that my core evaluation would be content (and whether I learned anything new). So, take a deep swig of your Tim Hortons double double and read on:

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

This matchup was a tough one to decide. I just started following @stcolumbia and quickly realized I’m better for it. @will_mccants, well, what can one say? Sheikh al-Forummeister is an obvious must-follow and I’ve been consuming his tweets for some time.

@will_mccants:

  • we had a nice swear-y exchange
  • he made great efforts at toadying and truckling – nice touch
  • some forum talk
  • tweeted an article in which he’s quoted so that boosted his cred
  • mild trash talk with @stcolumbia which was all right but not stellar and mostly one-sided.
  • at one point he attempted to bribe one of the judges (@texasinafrica) with coke – white powdery stuff or carbonated beverage, I’m not sure
  • actually visited my tumblr, hence the swear-y exchange.

@stcolumbia

  • while there was little by way of trash talk and snark, @stcolumbia’s twitter feed is a cornucopia of information – everything from the British Empire to American intervention in WWI to Libyan democracy to Russian influence in the GCC to a post on the dovishness of Fouad Ajami (!). In a world where content is king, in today’s matchup, @stcolumbia wears the crown.

Decision: @stcolumbia

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

This matchup was easy. @dandrezner live-tweeted some China thingy and ignored me all day. That is all. I wanted to change my twitter handle to @SadSadBunny but figured I would just be inundated with porn bots specializing in the use of small woodland creatures. Despite my best efforts, there was nary a tweet in my direction from the estimable @dandrezner. One thing he did have that no one else did, however, was a proxy. I feel there should be a special helper medal for @stephaniecarvin. Alternatively, a commemorative Canadian penny (they’re being discontinued y’know) and a Tim Hortons gift card should suffice. Or a t-shirt and fleece vest combo would work too.

@jeffemanuel, on the other hand, pandered like a pro. He pandered early and he pandered often. Also, he made good use of snark; his feed included a twitpic that left me visually impaired (see above) so while it’s never good to burn the retinas of a judge it did show that he had guts and wasn’t afraid to go out on a limb; he tweeted about sports (I think it was sports, I don’t do sports); American aid to Syria (learned something I didn’t know in terms of the possible type of aid); Groupon; food; and the F-35 (one of several banes of my existence). Oh, and he visited my tumblr too.

Decision: @jeffemanuel

@NuisanceValue

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

@stcolumbia

Trombly’s clearly the dark horse of this competition; that being said he’s continued to hold his own against an impressive line up of policy professionals and IR wonks. I’m consistently impressed by the quality / quantity balance in his tweeting and blogging - honestly, I don’t understand how he keeps up the pace (I suspect he doesn’t either). A finals opportunity would surely cap off this cinderella story. Also, let’s face it, the puppy avatar steals the show.

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

@dandrezner

Quite apart from the fact that I share Drezner’s dual passions for IPE and zombies, I appreciate his unique ability to combine a jaundiced perspective on the excesses of contemporary American political science with powerful and persistent justification of its fundamental practical virtues. Over the past weekend ISA has granted him a perfect opportunity to perform, and the results have been entertaining and informative. Go forth and conquer.

@securityscholar

Ok, another round of exceptional tweeters. This time, I’ll keep it short and sweet. Like this.

Basically, I looked at humour, overall commitment to NatSec tweets, interesting commentary, engagement with followers … and shameless pandering.

@will_mccants vs @stcolumbia

Result: @will_mccants showed lots of early ANZUS love (hey, everyone loves an alliance) and took out al Qaeda’s web presence but I gave it to @stcolumbia for consistent tweeting and discussion. And the cat picture.

TOTDs

I'm looking forward to buying @ a beer tomorrow to celebrate the conclusion of #tfc2012. you're 21, right?
@will_mccants
Will McCants
Today, I wrote two blog posts. My opponent, on the other hand, was just quoted in some rag called the "Washington Post"
@stcolumbia
Dan Trombly

@dandrezner vs @jeffemanuel

Result: @jeffemanuel had a prolific stream of tweets and was gracious to his opponent, yet I gave it to @dandrezner with props for his #ISA2012 coverage and shameless recruitment of @stephaniecarvin.

TOTDs

I met Kofi Annan once, almost 15 years ago. The man radiated calm.
@jeffemanuel
Jeff Emanuel
Maybe I was multitasking. RT @ @: Dude, were you twitter fighting while chairing my ISA panel? #multiplesnarkyadjectives
@dandrezner
Daniel Drezner
#isa12 Breaking News: @ heroically dives in front of truck to save adorable orphaned, baby kittens. #TFC12
@StephanieCarvin
Stephanie Carvin

@texasinafrica

My main dilemma in this week’s matchups was whether to vote for the people of my tribe (Team PhD!) or to actually evaluate via the official judging criteria. Well, that and dealing with the fact that #TFC2012 somehow came down to a contest between four white men, as everything else in national security too often does. But I digress.

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

I’ve been following @sill_mccants for a year or so and he consistently tweets about topics I’d never have otherwise seen. He also pandered quite effectively, pointing out that his wife went to Spelman (sister college to my employer). And he’s a professor. Albeit one who hasn’t sent me a free, autographed copy of his book. Yet.

I had not followed wunderkind @stcolumbia until this weekend, but of course I’ve seen all the raves about his blog posts and retweets of his clever tweets from the hard-core NatSec grand strategy types on my twitter feed. That is to say, @stcolumbia’s reputation preceded him. His tweets for the Final Four were thoughtful and he engaged very effectively with his readers. He also suggested that we could solve his unemployment problem by him becoming my housekeeper, but he didn’t respond when I asked if he does baseboards.

If I were just voting on today’s tweets, I’d vote @stcolumbia. But the criteria let us count total body of work on Twitter and I want to see @stcolumbia grow in the program rather than being a one-and-out-to-the-pros.

Vote: Team PhD. @will_mccants.

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

I only harbor slight bitterness toward @jeffemanuel, even though he beat me after an endorsement from a C-list celebrity of whom I’ve never heard until @dianawueger explained Firefly to me after my devastating loss on Friday. Jeff was nothing but gentlemanly in our battle royale, and he has a very active and interesting Twitter feed covering a wide range of topics. He also retweeted several of the latest in right wing conspiracy theories of which I’d yet to hear. Jeff is also a fellow native Texan in exile in Atlanta, and as a bonus, he managed to get a tweet from every Austinite’s second-favorite BBQ joint, the Salt Lick, which won major points in my book.

@dandrezner adopted the unusual TFC strategy of doing something other than hanging out on Twitter all day, which meant his flow of tweets was a lot slower than his opponent’s. However, my Canadian doppelganger @StephanieCarvin (Seriously. We lead parallel lives.) stepped into the gap with several enthusiastic tweets on Drezner’s prowess at everything from creating peace in Syria to stopping Joseph Kony. I also enjoyed his live tweets from an ISA panel on China. Drezner’s promise to appoint Carvin as Minister of Cupcakes did not go unnoticed. He also pandered effectively by promoting my job security with a personal Twitter note to my tenure committee.

This was a tough one, but at the end of the day, I use @dandrezner’s zombie book in class and have followed him for a long time. His body of Twitter work speaks for itself and, well, he might be on an editorial board whose acceptances I need for tenure. Sorry, Jeff.

Vote: Team PhD. @dandrezner.

@wjrue

Jeff Emmanuel vs Dan Drezner

This was a very tough match. Both of these gentleman have excellent feeds. Jeff is a fellow Bulldawg and calls the ATizzLe home. His conservatism is a much-needed counterweight to the rest of the TFC community lest our echo chamber become even larger. He sticks to his guns and will challenge anyone. Dan is a well-known and well-respected IR scholar who does serious work in IR theory and political economy. And zombies. He engages his readers and has contributed to making twitter a game-changing platform that enables people like me to interact with smart scholars. Drezner and Emmanuel. Emmanuel and Drezner. Think… I gotta go with Drezner. He tweeted from an ISA panel he was chairing today. That’s dedication. Or boredom.

Dan Trombly vs Will McCants

Another very tough match. Dan is clearly one of the smartest kids on twitter. His grasp of history makes his analysis of the present indispensable. And the kid is still an undergrad. Will is by all accounts the nicest guy around. And a Princeton PhD who helps dolts like me gain insight into extremist interpretations of political Islam. (Don’t worry Glenn, I won’t call him a CT analyst, even though he is. A damn good one too.) Will McCants gets my sympathy vote and for keeping me safe from the terrorists whose websites he took down several days ago.

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The Final Four

After two weeks of fierce competition, shocking upsets, and creative pandering, only four competitors are left:

@will_mccants, the author, jolly green giant of the counter terror community, who promises to be the judges’ Hound today:

He’s really tall, yo…
...and willing to crush skulls.

@stcolumbia, the precocious undergrad whose soul has not yet been crushed by the working world, the 12 seed who has sneak-attacked a series of higher seeds on the way up:

The guy living in the closet was a shock, but he got over it.
They never even saw him coming.

@jeffemanuel, the archaeologist, scholar, and SOF vet:

He would totally fight Nazis in his spare time if there were any around.

and @dandrezner, renowned professor of IR, blogger, and expert on-

...bbrraaaaaaaaainsss...

One day, two battles, two victors who will face each other in tomorrow’s final day of competition. For the tales of the tape, check out these visualizations set up by @MarkfromArk:

@will_mccants vs. @stcolumbia

@jeffemanuel vs. @dandrezner

Today’s matches will be judged by a panel of seven:

  • @AzmatZahra
  • @JimmySky
  • @naheedmustafa
  • @NuisanceValue
  • @securityscholar
  • @texasinafrica
  • @wjrue

The panel’s judgment will count for 50% of the vote, with each judge representing one seventh of that total. The public polls account for the other 50%. Judges and voters alike are encouraged to look at metrics such as: knowledge base; quality of argumentation; innovative thinking; humor, snark, facility with quips, and charisma; and responsiveness to followers. Contestants’ full bodies of work on Twitter are fair game, but any work outside of Twitter should not be considered, and once again everyone is encouraged to make their decisions in their own way. The winners will face each other in the championship round on Tuesday!

Polls are open until midnight, and remember to get out the vote!

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Bracket Scoring Update

A lot of entrants did not have any of the Final Four in their brackets, and only two correctly predicted more than one of them. @smsaideman went down in the Sweet 16 round of the competition, but his bracket selections could yet bring him a victory in TwitterFightClub 2012.

Entrant Round One Round Two Sweet Sixteen Elite Eight Final Four Championship Total
@alanatiemessen 21 16 12 8 57
@AngelaConner 25 0 0 0 0 0 25
@astridhka 25 22 12 0 0 0 59
@azelin 24 14 16 8 62
@bmccorkle1 22 18 16 0 0 0 56
@DaveedGR 22 18 16 8 64
@dianawueger 26 18 12 8 64
@doylecjd 18 16 8 0 0 0 42
@drjjoyner 23 18 8 0 0 0 49
@GrahamWJenkins 26 12 8 0 0 0 46
@ibnlarry 17 16 20 0 0 0 53
@jay_ulfelder 26 16 20 8 70
@jeffemanuel 24 18 12 8 62
@JimmySky 26 20 12 0 0 0 58
@katiedemann 20 16 12 8 56
@mariastoh 28 14 12 8 62
@miketalley73 20 12 16 16 64
@mvallonesta 23 16 20 8 67
@RogueAdventurer 28 18 12 8 66
@smsaideman 22 18 24 16 80
@stephanie carvin 27 22 16 0 0 0 65
@strangestrings 24 14 12 0 0 0 50
@TalkingWarheads 21 14 8 0 0 0 43
@the_boy 24 16 12 0 0 0 52
@TheCamelsNose 22 16 12 0 0 0 50
Arias (handle unknown) 20 16 8 0 0 0 44
Stone (handle unknown) 22 12 8 8 50
Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment